Category: Investor Mindset

  • How to make high leverage decisions and bring exponential growth in your life

    How to make high leverage decisions and bring exponential growth in your life

    Real estate investors are very fond of Leverage: the ability to control a higher asset value by investing only a fraction of it in capital and multiplying returns by a factor of 4 or 5 in the process.

    There’s another kind of leverage that can have exponential effects on your life. It’s called Decision Leverage.

    Here’s how it works: you make a high leverage decision once and it impacts your life going forward. Its effects cascade and compound over time. For example: making the decision to automatically transfer 10-15% of your income to a savings or capital account every month. You make the decision once and it will chance your financial life. Plus, momentum and inertia now work for you instead of against you. Another example might be the decision to get enough sleep every night. Yet another might be to read 20 pages a day every day (that adds up to 50 books a year by the way).

    What other high leverage decisions can you think about that can have impressive effects on your life?

  • Capital, Income and Net Worth are not the Goal

    Capital, Income and Net Worth are not the Goal

    Have you ever had that experience where you set an important goal for yourself, get intense about achieving it, work hard and grit your teeth to push it over the finish line and when you arrive there’s absolutely no joy? Just a whimper.

    I have – and it feels like you just ran a whole marathon only to find out that the actual marathon isn’t until next week. And you were wondering why participation seemed so low this year. You get the wind knocked out of you and all that’s left is a deep disappointment and lack of direction.

    The reason why you feel no joy about the achievement of a goal that you thought you wanted is because your inherited someone else’s goal and tried to make it your own. But it never was because there was no alignment between that goal and what matters to you. Here’s how you can tell if you’ve set such a misaligned goal: The aim of the goal is the accumulation of resources not what those resources will do to better your life.

    Think about it this way: Imagine you are a farmer and your family is the most important thing to you and your mission in life is to take care of them. In order to do so you need your fields plowed, planted and harvested and for that you need tools. So you set a goal to accumulate the tools you need to take care of those you value most. You work hard, take extra jobs, pinch every penny you can and get obsessed with getting those tools. So much so that you have forgotten why you were getting the tools in the first place. You are laser focused and hellbent on getting those tools – whatever it takes. Then finally one day you reach your goal and you find yourself sitting in a still unplowed, unplanted and unharvested field, surrounded by all these tools you worked so hard grappling with this deep sense of disappointment and wonder if it was worth it.

    Capital, Income, Net Worth are just resources, essentially tools. They’re the means to an end not the end itself. If you want to set goals that are aligned with what matters, you must spend more time thinking about what you value and how the resources you accumulate will help you improve and take better care of those people and causes that are important than obsessing over the tools. If you set a goal to make a million dollars because that’s what you think a meaningful goal looks like I have news for you. There’s no joy at the end of that rainbow. No amount will make you happy on its own. Perhaps there will be a brief high and ego boost but once that’s gone, there’s nothing left but the residue of disappointment.

    Instead think about what that million dollars will allow you to do and design in advance the life you could create with those resources. How will that million dollars help you take better care of your family or start that business or travel for an extended period of time or …

    The best part is that you get to decide what’s important. The most important part is that you don’t lose sight of it.

  • The fascinating paradox with long-term real estate investors

    The fascinating paradox with long-term real estate investors

    There is this fascinating paradox I encounter regularly in our real estate practice. The overwhelming majority of real estate investors I have the privilege to help, fall on the conservative end of the investing spectrum. They are driven by unbiased logic, need empirical evidence and have a long term focus. If you haven’t left this site yet after reading an article or two, you can probably relate.

    But with all that focus on logic, numbers and the “long game” they still succumb to doubts that run counter to all those things. See, we like to think of ourselves as rational beings driven by unbiased logic but the truth is we are hard-wired to respond to certain impulses and fears.

    Cute little confused student shrugging his shoulders has no answer, thinking, puzzled

    Let’s look at two related misgivings I hear frequently from our clients:

    1. “I wish I had met you in … (2008, 2010, 2012 – you name it) so property prices would have been more favorable.”

    2. “Shouldn’t I wait to acquire investment properties since we’re in a Seller’s market and prices are high?”

    These statements indicate valid concerns but they’re paradoxical in that they run counter to the very core of the conservative long term investor.

    Silly Rabbit … Market Timing is for traders

    Real estate prices in most markets (Texas included) were substantially lower in 2008-2013 than they are now. Furthermore, most investors that purchased during that time were able to lock in quite a bit of equity and very favorable price/rent ratios. That’s especially true if you consider the increase in rents during the same amount of time.  Those are facts that no one can dispute. But our investor clients forget a couple of critical issues when they express the wish to have invested earlier.

    First, investing in 2008-2013 seems like a given now that we know “how the movie turned out”. However, at the time, it didn’t seem as such a no-brainer to most investors. I know because I was on the phone with them trying to get them to see it. When the whole nation was curled up in a fetal position waiting for financial Armageddon, it was hard to think about investing for even the most visionary of investors. When you drove into a neighborhood and saw 15-20 foreclosure signs back to back on the same street, it  was hard to imagine the time when they would be worth so much more.

    But most importantly, that wish disregards a critical truth: The long term investor is fundamentally not an opportunist.

    A long-term investor invests to achieve financial independence regardless of the market he’s dealt. That doesn’t mean that a long-term investor cannot or should not take advantage of an especially advantageous real estate market. They absolutely should.  However, they should NOT invest only when there’s “blood on the streets” and “going out of business” banners are aplenty. So ask yourself this essential question: Are you a long-term investor or an opportunist and then act accordingly.

    Seller markets come with the territory

    The average Blueprint plan we devise for our clients entails an investment timeframe of 7-20 years (depending on the resources and goals). Take any 7-20 year period and look at the market conditions over time. It’s not only highly likely that market conditions will change over time – it’s to be expected! As a matter of fact, a scenario in which market conditions remain the same over a decade is almost implausible.

    But there’s another fear at work here – no one wants to be the sucker that invests at the top of the market only to ride it downward. That’s understandable. But did you know that the Houston area has been in a “Seller’s market” since the Spring of 2012? What if the investors that purchased properties during that time had succumbed to the same fear and waited for a price drop? They would find themselves wishing they had invested in 2013 when prices were lower. Sometime in the future, investors will speak of 2015 as the ideal time to have purchased because conditions may be less favorable then (read: interest rate hikes).

    As long as property valuations are supported by economic fundamentals and we are not in a real estate bubble, the long-term real estate investor keeps her focus on the main goal (financial independence) and executes her Blueprint plan regardless of the market. Sometimes the market is extra favorable, other times it is not. Over the long term, the market will do what the market will do and our goals are still there for us to accomplish. So accomplish them we will.

  • Regret > Loss

    Regret > Loss

    The current strategy most Americans use to save and invest for retirement is fundamentally flawed. In order to evaluate the effectiveness of any strategy in an empirical way let’s look at the final results.  Then let’s compare them to the results you employed the strategy to achieve.

    We will go through that very process using two well known and often quoted studies.

    First, a 2007 study performed by the Employee Benefit Research institute found that the average Baby Boomer had an average balance of $75,000 in their retirement account at retirement age. The same study performed recently, found that average balance has risen to  $127,000 following the bull market of recent years.

    Second, a 2009 study performed by the US Census found that the average college graduate (undergraduate) earns a little over $2M in their lifetime. Graduates with higher level degrees earned $2.5M (masters) and $3.5M (doctoral). But let’s stick with the undergraduate figure for the purposes of this article.

    The math here is shocking and unforgiving! After 40+ years of working, earning, saving and investing the average “retiree” ends up with a little less than 2 years salary  in their nest egg?! After four decades of tax-deferred 401K contributions, employer matches, double digit average market returns you arrive to find an account with 6% of your lifetime earnings?!

    Depositphotos_2414091_l-2015 (1)

    I know, I know. Yes, many boomers invested when the market was at the peak and pulled their money out at the bottom because they were fearful. Yes, they may have neglected to invest during the early years because they weren’t thinking about retirement then. Yes, their portfolios were probably not as diversified as they should have been. And finally, yes, they could have had much more money at retirement if they had the discipline of a robot and were completely unfazed by a 30-40% drop in the market.

    All that considered, some pesky questions remain. Is this the outcome Baby Boomers signed up for when they invested their hard earned money? If given a do-over, would they do it again?

    Of course not.

    Sadly, for most retirement age folks in this predicament the only remaining option is to work much much longer than they had anticipated. But what about future retirees who are 15, 20, 30 years from retirement? After seeing the sad ending to this movie, do you follow the same path on purpose or do you shift strategy, direction and ultimately destination?

    America has been called the “land of opportunity” and nowhere is this more evident than the above example. Unlike most countries around the world, an average college graduate earns a couple of million dollars in their lifetime. Think about that.  Not the outstanding, exceptional college graduate – the average.

    If this average graduate simply saved a dime out of every dollar she earned and never invested it at all, she would end up with 2-3 times more in their retirement account than the average retirement-age Boomers. How’s that for pathetic results?

    When you first consider investing in real estate long term, fear of loss promptly ensues. After all, there are many unknown variables:

    1. How do you know if it’s the right property?
    2. What if the tenants are a major hassle?
    3. What if it doesn’t rent quickly?
    4. What if there’s a major repair?

    I wrote this article to make one simple yet crucial point: Regret > Loss.

    When you live in a country where the average college graduate makes over $2M in earnings in their lifetime, that’s a major opportunity. If you squander the opportunity to make something beautiful, to become financially independent and built wealth, the regret will be way more painful than any temporary fear of loss. If all you have to show for millions in earnings is 40 years of expenses, that will be a shame.

    References:

    http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/p23-210.pdf

    http://www.usnews.com/education/best-colleges/articles/2011/08/05/how-higher-education-affects-lifetime-salary

    http://www.fool.com/retirement/general/2015/01/10/the-typical-american-has-this-much-in-retirement-s.aspx

  • The invaluable lesson a Roger Federer video taught me about long term real estate investing

    The invaluable lesson a Roger Federer video taught me about long term real estate investing

    Roger Federer, arguably the best tennis player in the history of the sport, visited the Google campus in Mountain View a few weeks back along with his coach Stefan Edberg (one of the game’s greats in his own right). During that visit, they put on Google Glass and shot a fascinating video that showed a tennis match from the perspective of these two great players. Take a look:

    As I was watching that video, an interesting thought crossed my mind. As good as Edberg was in his day, he never reached Roger Federer’s level in terms of skills, trophies won and excellence in general. And yet, Edberg coaches Federer. This isn’t a phenomenon that happens in tennis alone. Every top performer, no matter the field, uses a coach to elevate their “game”. In fact, one could argue that top performers would not reach the same heights without their coaches’ help.

    This sounds almost paradoxical. Why is it that a supremely talented and skilled performer needs the mentoring of someone that often does not possess the same capabilities?

    The reason is that skills and talents only go so far in the road toward success and excellence. How many times have we seen history repeat itself with naturally gifted athletes that never reach their full potential? Often, talents and gifts are prerequisites for but not guarantees of success. For example,  if you are to be the best player in the NBA you must be of a certain size and build. But if you possess that size and build, you’re not necessarily going to be the best player in the NBA.

    So what are the missing pieces?

    Vision, mental fortitude and the ability to practice simple disciplines.

    That’s why Stefan Edberg coaches Roger despite the fact that he may have never been at Roger’s level skill-wise. His vast experience can provide invaluable vision and mental strength in clutch moments. His coach has “seen the movie before” and knows what’s coming up ahead. So he can supply his protege with those simple disciplines that sharpen the top performer and allow him to excel. Furthermore, when the game comes so easy due to natural gifts, it’s easy to take the foot off the gas and coast. A coach can help keep the focus and the intensity on at all times to defeat the mortal enemy of “great”, known as “good enough”.

    Real Estate Investing Lesson

    Real estate investing is no different.

    Look, I’ll be the first to tell you that it takes a talented person to work hard, climb the ladder, lead a fiscally disciplined lifestyle and as a result save the capital to invest for the future. That’s not easy to accomplish so never take it for granted.

    But now that you’ve accomplished it, you face some critical choices. Namely, how are you going to employ that hard earned capital to achieve financial freedom and live the life you want to live (not the one you have to live)? Certainly, your talents play a part and demonstrate financial acumen. But like the example above, natural talent is a prerequisite of success but never a guarantee.  In real estate investing, success is determined by a few simple (but not easy) factors:

    1. Do you have a roadmap that shows an overview where you are, where you want to be and the path to  get there?
    2. Do you have the experience to know what makes a good investment you should pursue or a bad one you should avoid?
    3. Do you have a plan that shows you the exact steps you must execute to reach your goals?
    4. Do you have the mental strength and disciplines to stick to your plan and avoid jumping from bandwagon to bandwagon?

    I don’t know what your answers are to those questions – That’s for you to take an honest assessment, ponder and decide. But I can tell you that in my experience, most long term real estate investors, as talented as they usually are, need help with at least half of those factors. They might have the mental strength and disciplines but not the experience. Or they might have a good grip on their current situation and goals but don’t know how to create a plan that will bridge the gap between where they are and where they want to be. And the main problem is that most of us can’t afford to get this wrong as we aren’t usually given many chances to get it right.

    So today, I want to leave you with a quote from one of my favorite authors and speakers that has had a profound effect on my life, Jim Rohn: We could all use a little coaching. When you are playing the game, it’s hard to think of everything.

    If you would like to know more about how our Blueprint can help you maximize the potential of your talents by providing a clear roadmap to reach your financial goals, contact me or if you are reading this in your email, just hit reply.

     

  • On our need for structure and escaping the affordability mentality

    On our need for structure and escaping the affordability mentality

    Most of the articles I have written for Investing Architect revolve around strategies, ideas and plans you can apply and reach your retirement and wealth goals. But I am a firm believer that even the most brilliant of strategies would not be executed properly in the absence of the right mindset.

    So, I’ve been thinking about a couple of concepts that can substantially influence our mindset and I’d like to share those thoughts with you.

    structure

    On structure

    First, let’s look at an instance that most of us have had some experience with in their lives. You are in the market to purchase a car so you walk into a dealership. A couple of hours later you shake the hand of your salesperson and drive out of that dealership with your new car and a promise to pay $450 per month over the next 60 months for the privilege. Over the next five years you make that payment diligently by the due date and fulfill your promise by paying a total of $30,602.

    So far so good.

    But I’m really interested in what happens during the next 5 years. You would think that over the next 60 months that you don’t have a car payment, you should be able to put that monthly payment diligently into your savings and accumulate over $30,000 during that time. Right?

    The truth is that almost never happens. And I am fascinated by the reason why. How could it be that we are more loyal and diligent to a bank or a car company but not ourselves?

    The principal reason is structure. A secondary but still important reason is automation.

    You might not have realized it at the time but when you walked out of that dealership they setup a clearly defined structure for you. They gave you a five year target to hit and interim monthly targets that you had to meet. The engine of achievement in our brains needs that structure, those targets and the “burn the ships” requirement to follow through. That’s the first reason why you didn’t manage to “save the car payment” over the next 5 years.

    Now let’s take it a step further. What happened when you received your first payment letter? You signed up for autodraft or entered the car payment on your Bill Pay. In other words you automated the process and removed the burden of decision. When the next payment came due, it got withdrawn from your account regardless of how you “felt” that day. You probably didn’t even notice that it was gone till you looked at your statement later. That’s how automated the process had become.

    The real estate investing lesson in all of this is that if you want to achieve lofty goals, you need structure. You need a Blueprint that gives you targets to hit and actions to take. When there is a lack of structure, you end up with a couple of rental properties and some Starbucks money each month but nothing more. And in the process you expend the most valuable resource you have: Time. Last but not least, real estate investing requires capital – in other words it requires your ability to save. How do you hit your savings goals? You make them automatic and you remove the burden of decision. Setup an autodraft for you, on the first of each month, before anything else is paid. And deposit the money into an account where you don’t have easy access to make withdrawal more cumbersome.

    On escaping the Affordability Mindset

    Let’s take it one step further still. It’s the moment before you leave the house to go to the dealership in the previous example. You need a car and you don’t have the option to pay cash for it. What’s the thought process in considering the potential car loan you’re about to take on later that day? Well, you make $90,000 a year and take home about $6,000 a month so you can easily afford the $450 per month payment. And you would be right. But it’s the right answer to the wrong question.

    Sorry to break it to you, but the “affordability mindset” that is so ingrained in our culture, is simply the result of successful marketing campaigns. Companies selling anything from cars to furniture have succeeded in getting your attention away from the fact that you are paying a lot of money for something that goes down in value and toward the “affordability of your monthly payment”. They have succeeded in getting you to ask “what’s my payment” instead of “what’s the price”.

    Look, I’m not here to tell you how you should spend your money. In earning the money, you have earned the right to use it however you see fit. What I’m here to do is offer a different mindset, a cashflow and wealth mindset. In the previous example, we looked at how a car payment saved for 5 years can amount to over 30k even with modest returns. We didn’t mention that the average family carries two such payments averaging about $800 per month! If this same family owned a rental property (140k, 20% down at 5%) and applied the same amount of those car payments (in addition to the cashflow) to aggressively pay down the mortgage, they could have the whole thing paid off in 6.5 years producing $1000 a month in income to boot! So, in roughly the same amount of time as the car payment plan, the same amount of money can accomplish so much more when applied to a different structure.

    Those that adopt the cash flow and wealth mindset don’t play the game using the same affordability rules peddled by banks and companies. They ask about the real cost of things that includes the opportunity cost of not investing the money in a different structure that can make the difference for them in the long term. They understand that affordability doesn’t stop until every dollar they earn is already owed to some company before it hits your bank. They refuse to play that game and that’s why they accomplish different, much more ambitious goals.